538 Presidential Prediction 2024. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. 24, 2024 at 2 p.m.
An interactive electoral map derived from 538’s probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.